Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.035717 0.041633 0.048144 0.055829 0.064640 0.074417 0.086073
2025-08-10 0.025801 0.033227 0.042162 0.053659 0.068015 0.085298 0.107624
2025-08-17 0.019537 0.027479 0.037814 0.052148 0.071401 0.096237 0.130552
2025-08-24 0.015663 0.023831 0.035220 0.052087 0.076221 0.109252 0.157571
2025-08-31 0.012471 0.020397 0.032172 0.050681 0.078709 0.119148 0.181357
2025-09-07 0.010922 0.019040 0.031792 0.052900 0.086471 0.137142 0.218506
2025-09-14 0.009252 0.017141 0.030205 0.052910 0.090712 0.150210 0.249599
2025-09-21 0.007678 0.015085 0.027987 0.051476 0.092313 0.159167 0.275041
2025-09-28 0.006549 0.013596 0.026461 0.050912 0.095149 0.170219 0.304778
2025-10-05 0.006084 0.013257 0.026906 0.053836 0.104264 0.192532 0.355363
2025-10-12 0.005559 0.012698 0.026838 0.055766 0.111757 0.212705 0.404098
2025-10-19 0.004752 0.011407 0.025152 0.054345 0.112815 0.221486 0.433376
2025-10-26 0.004130 0.010415 0.023945 0.053766 0.115531 0.233777 0.470701
2025-11-02 0.003502 0.009288 0.022280 0.052007 0.115688 0.241275 0.499829
2025-11-09 0.003006 0.008373 0.020927 0.050705 0.116587 0.250241 0.532585
2025-11-16 0.002672 0.007790 0.020228 0.050730 0.120247 0.264978 0.577999
2025-11-23 0.002303 0.007041 0.019014 0.049399 0.120779 0.273354 0.611296
2025-11-30 0.002172 0.006911 0.019283 0.051589 0.129411 0.299415 0.683414
2025-12-07 0.001947 0.006467 0.018694 0.051609 0.133058 0.315149 0.735097
2025-12-14 0.001688 0.005869 0.017603 0.050214 0.133191 0.323194 0.770891
2025-12-21 0.001498 0.005436 0.016883 0.049665 0.135287 0.335779 0.817721
2025-12-28 0.001451 0.005454 0.017420 0.052524 0.146141 0.369288 0.914261
2026-01-04 0.001373 0.005350 0.017592 0.054411 0.154737 0.398290 1.002847